Sacramento Kings vs. Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds – 11/2/2022

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This Wednesday, the (2-4) Sacramento Kings will travel to Miami, Florida to face the (2-5) Miami Heat. Tipoff will take place at 7:30 p.m. EST inside the FTX Arena. Both of these teams have had a disappointing start to this regular season and will be looking to build momentum against each other. These two teams also played on October 29, as the Kings won 119-113.

The Sacramento Kings enter this one after defeating the Charlotte Hornets, 115-108. They shot 14 more free throws than the Hornets as they continued to make contact and reach the line. They’ll have to find different ways to score against this Heat team if they want to challenge them on the road.

The Miami Heat come into this game after falling to the Sacramento Kings. They also faced the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday night, as it will be the second straight game for the Heat. They have struggled on the attacking side of the field to start this season as they will need to warm up if they are to make a run.

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This game was written/published before last night’s results.

Can kings turn the tide?

The Sacramento Kings currently sit 13th in the Western Conference standings as they will need to warm up on both sides of the court if they want to move up. De’Aaron Fox is also listed as an absentee, as he will not be participating in this contest. He left Monday’s contest with knee pain and did not return. On offense, the Kings are scoring 114.3 points per game and shooting 47.7 percent from the floor. This is the 16th-highest number of points scored and the 10th-highest team shooting percentage. They continued to knock down shots if left open and attacking the rim. According to, the Kings have an adjusted offensive rating of 117.7, which is 16th highest in the league. They also shoot 36.2 percent from behind the three-point arc, as it is the 14th-highest three-point shooting percentage in the NBA. Kevin Huerter will lead the way if Fox is out, as he scores 18.3 ppg on 50% shooting from the floor. Fox is averaging 24.5 points per game, which leads the team. The Kings, however, struggled at the free throw line. They only make 74.5% of their shots from the charity stripe as they continued to drop runs on the line.

On the defensive side of the field, the Kings are giving up 117 points per game and they are allowing their opponents to shoot 48.9% from the floor. This is the highest allowed shooting percentage in the league and the 23rd most points given up. According to, Sacramento has an adjusted defensive rating of 114.8, which is the 23rd highest in the NBA. They need to start making more saves and contesting more shots if they want to limit their opponents when they’re on the attacking side of the field. The Kings also allow opponents to shoot 42.2 percent from deep, as it’s the third-highest three-point shooting percentage allowed. They also snatch 42.7 rebounds per game, the 25th most in the NBA. They must secure the ball after missed shots if they want to prevent their opponents from scoring second or third chance points.

Injury Report: De’Aaron Fox (knee) is listed as an out for Wednesday’s contest.

Is the heat good?

The Miami Heat didn’t get the start to the regular season they were looking for, as they now sit 13th in the Eastern Conference standings. They will need to perform better on the attacking side of the pitch if they are to turn the tide this season. According to, the Heat currently have an adjusted offensive rating of 109.7, which is 25th highest in the league. They’re scoring 114.3 points per game and they’re shooting 44.9 percent from the floor. This is the 26th-highest number of points scored and the 25th-highest team shooting percentage. They continue to lack open looks and they are content with jumpers instead of getting the ball low. They are also shooting 34.8 percent from deep, which is the 18th-highest three-point shooting percentage in the league. Jimmy Butler continues to lead the way for the Heat, scoring 21.3 points per game on 49% shooting. Luckily, Miami has been terrific in the charity strip, as they shoot 84.6 percent from the line. This is the second highest percentage in the NBA as they didn’t let those free points go to waste.

On the defensive side of the field, the Heat are allowing 110.6 points per game and their opponents are shooting 46.5 percent from the floor. This is the 11th-fewest points surrendered per game and the 17th-highest shooting percentage allowed. According to, the Heat have an adjusted defensive rating of 112.2, which is the 18th-lowest rating in the NBA. However, they struggled to consistently close in on three-point shooters. They allow their opponents to shoot 39% from deep, which is the fifth highest percentage allowed in the league. Miami has also struggled to get rebounds, as they’re only averaging 40.4 per game. That’s the fourth-lowest average rebound per game.

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I’ll take the Miami Heat (-6.5) in this game because the Heat are the best team overall. They could win this game if Fox plays, but he’s listed as an out, which will hurt the Kings. According to, the Kings have the 23rd highest adjusted defensive rating as they will allow Miami to score consistently throughout this game. Miami struggled on shots early in the year, but the Kings allow opponents to shoot 48.9 percent from the floor, which is the league’s highest shooting percentage. Miami will reverse open shots and continue to pull away throughout this game. Miami is also shooting 34.8 percent from behind the three-point arc, which is the 18th-highest percentage in the NBA. They have the ability to turn shots around and I don’t see Jimmy Butler or Tyler Herro allowing their team to lose in that situation. Miami is also the best defensive team, as they give up 11th-fewest points and they hold opponents to the 17th-lowest shooting percentage in the NBA. The Kings won’t be able to score enough points without Fox on the floor and they’ll struggle defensively regardless. Miami is the best overall team and they will rotate this season into this one.

Choose the Miami Heat and score the points (-6.5).

Prediction: Miami Heat -6.5

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I love the under bets (227.5) in this game because I see the Heat making it very difficult for the Kings to score and Miami continued to struggle on the field. Miami scores the 26th most points per game and they have the 25th highest shooting percentage in the league. They struggled to shoot from the ground as they keep missing wide open looks. The Heat will also be looking to slow down this game, as it has one of the slowest tempos in the league. According to, the Heat are averaging 98.6 possessions per game, which is 22nd-fewest in the NBA. They will take their time getting the ball downfield and they will also use the majority of the shot clock whenever they are on the attacking side. The Kings will be without Fox as he pushes his team’s tempo. But, if he’s not on the floor, I see this Kings team looking scrappy. He is their top scorer and he involves all his teammates. Miami gives up 11th-fewest points and they will continue to contest edge and perimeter shots. Miami can’t afford to start that slow, because I consider it a must-play game for them. They will show up on the defensive side of the pitch and slow the ball down when they are on the attacking side.

Pick the minus (227.5) and expect both of these teams to struggle from the floor as they haven’t been hot on the court to start this season.

Prediction: Under 227.5

Written by
Mason Folz, “Mason Folz”

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado at Boulder and has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He’s been doing math since he learned to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking about sports, unless he’s on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be delighted too. Let’s make money!

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